Welcome to the MVP Chase, where I look for, or chase, the best objective criteria in determining greatness without personal bias.
Today's topics: NFL MVP Chase and Week 11 picks
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NFL MVP Chase
We're back to a crowded field in the NFL MVP race!
In review, to earn an MVP point in a game:
A quarterback must have a 100.0+ passer rating in a win or tie.
A back or receiver must have 100+ yards from scrimmage in a win or tie.
Multiple players on the same team can earn an MVP point in the same game.
The consensus pick in the media for MVP might be Patrick Mahomes at this point, and I have him one point behind the leaders. An argument for Mahomes is that the Chiefs keep chugging along after losing their most dangerous receiver, Tyreek Hill. Tua Tagoaviola, tied for the MVP Chase lead, acquired Hill, who's leading the league in receiving yards, and that has certainly helped Tua's game.
It can also be pointed out that the Dolphins are 7-0 when Tua plays a complete game and 0-3 when he was (famously) knocked out and missed two subsequent games. Even if he's being helped by a perfect situation of coaching, scheme, and surrounding talent, he's playing as efficiently as any quarterback ever has, and that is to his credit.
Justin Jefferson is 88 yards behind Hill, having played one less game. He's contributed 100 or more yards in six of eight Viking victories (and 98 yards in another). Jefferson's on a Vikings team that's 7-0 in one-score games and that's tied for the best record in the league.
In the NFL, MVP voters can vote for just one player; there is no "weighted voting" for multiple players. If you're voting for just one, I don't see a strong enough case to go against the best player on the winningest team.
My pick after ten weeks would be Justin Jefferson.
6 MVP Points, 2 players
Justin Jefferson, WR, Vikings
Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Dolphins
5 MVP Points, 5 players
Stefon Diggs, WR, Bills
Joe Burrow, QB, Bengals
Jalen Hurts, QB, Eagles
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs
Geno Smith, QB, Seahawks
4 MVP Points 7 players
Josh Allen, QB, Bills
Saquon Barkley, RB, Giants
Dalvin Cook, RB, Vikings
Jimmy Garoppolo, QB, 49ers
Derrick Henry, RB, Titans
Tyreek Hill, WR, Dolphins
Daniel Jones, QB, Giants
3 MVP Points 8 players
Nick Chubb, RB, Browns
Kirk Cousins, QB, Vikings
Aaron Jones, RB, Packers
Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jaguars
Tony Pollard, RB, Cowboys
Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers
Matt Ryan, QB, Colts
Jaylen Waddle, WR, Dolphins
24 players have two MVP points, and 52 have one.
WEEK 11 Picks
Last week, I was 6-7 against the CBS Sports line. Week 3 was my first one making picks, and I'm 53-64 for the season.
Week 11 has a slate of 14 games. Here are my picks:
Titans at Packers: Titans by 8
Bears at Falcons: Bears by 3
Browns at Bills: Bills by 6
Eagles at Colts: Eagles by 12
Commanders at Texans: Commanders by 13
Rams at Saints: Saints by 2
Jets at Patriots: Patriots by 1
Lions at Giants: Giants by 4
Panthers at Ravens: Ravens by 3
Raiders at Broncos: Broncos by 1
Cowboys at Vikings: Vikings by 3
Chiefs at Chargers: Chiefs by 7
Bengals at Steelers: Bengals by 6
49ers at Cardinals: Cardinals by 1
James Leroy Wilson writes Daily Miracles (subscribe), The Daily Bible Chapter (subscribe), JL Cells (subscribe), and The MVP Chase (subscribe). Thanks for your subscriptions and support! You may contact James for your writing, editing, and research needs: jamesleroywilson-at-gmail.com
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