Independent Country

James Leroy Wilson's one-man magazine.

Friday, October 03, 2025

Yes, Baseball has a Scoring Champ

 

Photo credit: Tage Olsin

IN THIS ISSUE, the 2025 Baseball Awards:


  • Scoring and Bases Champions (Yes, those are things; I created them)

  • AL and NL MVP Chase Winners

  • My unofficial AL and NL Cy Young ballots


NOTE: ALL STATISTICAL DATA BELOW COMES FROM STATHEAD.


SCORING AND BASES CHAMPIONS


In 2024, I devised two new baseball stats, which I called "Scoring" and "Bases Gained." I now refer to the latter as "All Bases."


Scoring is Runs plus Runs Batted In (RBI) minus Home Runs. (The number of home runs is deducted because it's included in both Runs and RBI totals; subtracting the number once avoids double-counting.) 


All Bases is Total Bases (total number of bases reached through hits: home run = 4, triple = 3, double = 2, single = 1) plus Bases on Balls (walks) plus Stolen Bases (steals).


The Scoring Title is likely to go to a great hitter with a high All Bases total, but who is also on a team with other good hitters that get on base for him to drive home, and who can drive him home when he's on base.


All Bases measures a player's skill at the plate and on the bases, independent of what his teammates do. As such, the All Bases Title (or, simply, the Bases Title) could go to a great player on a team with poor-hitting teammates.


While Cal Raleigh is the Home Run Champ and is now part of the elite 60-Home Run Club, Aaron Judge edged out Shohei Ohtani to win the Scoring Title. Ohtani, however, by the thinnest of margins (one base), took the All Bases title over Judge.


Both statistics are more important than any stat based on percentages, and more significant than home runs, hits, or RBI, because they measure how productive a player was in the two stats that matter: getting to the next base and manufacturing runs.



2025 MLB Scoring Leaders



2025 MLB All Bases Leaders




MVP CHASE WINNERS


I'll say right off the, uh, bat that my MLB MVP Chase doesn't take defense into account. Not how well the player fields (if he does at all), not the importance of the position he plays. Some people quantify those things, and if I had an actual official vote for the MVP, I would take defense into account. However, the MVP Chase total would be the primary criterion for offense.


My focus for the MVP Chase in all sports is how a player's batting contributed to the team's wins. If the player had an "All Bases" score of 3 or more for the game and the team won, then the player receives credit for that game in the MVP Chase. Nobody has to be the best player in any particular game, but if a player is among the major contributors in victory after victory, then he's an MVP candidate.


An example to understand the lists: Aaron Judge finished with 56. That means, in 56 Yankee victories, his total bases + walks + steals equaled at least 3.



AL MVP CHASE FINAL STANDINGS


  1. Aaron Judge, RF, Yankees, 56 

  2. Cal Raleigh, C, Mariners 53

  3. George Springer, RF, Blue Jays, 48

  4. Bobby Witt Jr., SS, Royals, 47

  5. (5th tie)Vladimir Guerrero, 1B, Blue Jays, 45

  6. (5th tie)Jose Ramirez, 3B, Indians, 45

  7. Junior Caminero, 3B, Rays, 39

  8. Byron Buxton, CF, Twins, 36

  9. Riley Greene, OF, Tigers, 36

  10. (10th tie) Yandy Diaz, 1B, Rays, 32

(10th tie) Shea Langeliers, C, Athletics, 32

(10th tie) Taylor Ward, LF, Angels, 32


NL MVP CHASE FINAL STANDINGS


  1. Shohei Ohtani, P/DH, Dodgers 58

  2. Kyle Schwarber, LF/DH, Phillies, 53

  3. Juan Soto, OF, Mets, 48

  4. Seiya Suzuki, RF/DH, Cubs, 42

  5. Corbin Caroll, OF, Diamondbacks, 41

  6. (6th tie) Pete Alonso, 1B, Mets, 39

  7. (6th tie) Michael Busch, 1B/3B, Cubs, 39

  8. (8th tie) Rafael Devers, 3B Giants, 38

  9. (8th tie) Geraldo Perdomo, SS, Diamondbacks, 38

  10. (10th tie) Freddie Freeman, 1B, Dodgers, 37

  11. (10th tie) Christian Yelich, LF, Brewers, 37


I wouldn't dispute Cal Raleigh being named MVP when taking his role as catcher into account. However, it should be because of that, and not because he hit 60 home runs. On batting alone, Aaron Judge has the better argument for MVP.


CY YOUNG BALLOTS


I examined the Top 200 pitchers (starters and relievers) based on ERA, with a minimum of 50 innings pitched. I then sorted and ranked them three times:


  • By most Innings Pitched

  • By lowest Earned Run Average

  • By Iowest ABIP.


What's ABIP?


ABIP is similar to WHIP (walks + hits allowed per innings pitched), but it is more precise. ABIP is all bases allowed per innings pitched. It uses the same "All Bases" stat used for hitters above (total bases + walks + steals), but applies to pitchers.


Let's say Pitcher Al allows one hit in a game, a home run. Pitcher Bob allows one double and one triple, but no runs. Al allowed fewer bases, Bob allowed fewer runs. Both should be taken into account. Innings Pitched also matters; the more quality innings a pitcher can pitch, the more valuable he is than other pitchers. Self-evident.


The total for each player is their combined ERA, IP, and ABIP rankings among the top 200 pitchers (based on ERA, minimum 50 innings pitched). The top relievers would be high in ERA and ABIP rank, but low on Innings Pitched. Starters, however, have the advantage in innings pitched.


I have one list for both leagues, with the Cy Young winners in bold and my theoretical ballot naming the next four in each league.




Subscription prices to The MVP Chase are just $ 5 per month or $30/year (50% off). If you enjoy the content, consider a paid subscription or contact me to discuss a lower rate or one-time payment option. The more support I have, the more content I’ll be able to produce.


Tuesday, September 30, 2025

Ties count: NFL MVP Chase and College Football Update

 

Image: Torsten Bolten

In this Issue:


  • Should ties count?

  • NFL MVP Chase standings

  • College Football Playoff eliminations and ranking the undefeateds


Should ties count?


East Coast viewers stayed up past midnight on Sunday if they watched the end of the Packers-Cowboys 40-40 overtime tie.  Both quarterbacks, Jordan Love and Dak Prescott, threw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns. Both also had a QBI of at least 12. If either had won, he would have earned credit in the MVP Chase.


I don't give MVP credit for losses, no matter how fantastic a player might have been, because I think the "value" lies in helping the team win. I don't recall what I've done for the occasional tie in previous years of doing the NFL MVP Chase, but I have included "ties" (overtime losses) in the NHL MVP Chase because an OT loss earns a team a point in that league's standings. That's better than no points.


For the same reason, I'll give credit to Love, Prescott, and also to Cowboys running back Javonte Williams (100 yards from scrimmage in the game).  A loss in no way, shape, or form can help a team in the standings, but a tie might. Therefore, players who played like MVPs in a tie should get MVP Chase credit.


NFL MVP Chase standings


Thanks to the tie, both Prescott and Williams cracked the Top 15 in the MVP Chase despite the Cowboys having only one win. The list is flooded with players from teams with four or three wins, as it should be. Bijan Robinson, however, had monster games in the two Falcons victories. 



College football update


Nine more teams we will not see and ought not see in the College Football Playoff:


Arkansas: lost by 43 to Notre Dame; fired the coach

Syracusee: lost by 35 to Duke

Appalachian St: lost by 33 to Boise St

Florida Atlantic: 1-3; lost by 29 to Memphis

Florida International: 2-2; previously lost to Penn State by 34 and Delaware by 22

UTEP: 1-4

Liberty: 1-4

South Alabama: 1-4

Arkansas St: 1-4


Here is the list of all 45 times I've eliminated so far. I will eliminate 72 more before Conference Championship weekend, and we'll see how my process of elimination agrees with the Selection Committee's final selections.


Akron, Arkansas, Arkansas St, Army, Appalachian St, Ball St, California, Central Michigan, Coastal Carolina, Eastern Mich, Florida, Florida Atlantic, Florida International, Georgia Southern, Georgia St, Illinois, Kennesaw St, Kent St, Liberty, Louisiana, Louisiana-Monroe, Marshall, Massachusetts, Middle Tenn, Missouri St, Nevada, New Mexico St, North Carolina, Oklahoma St, Oregon St, Purdue, Sam Houston, South Alabama, Stanford, Syracuse, Temple, Tulane, UAB, UCLA, UTEP, Virginia Tech, Washington State, West Virginia, Western Michigan, Wisconsin


There are 20 undefeated teams left. Vanderbilt is 5-0. In addition to crushing an FCS school, they have crushed three blowout wins and one convincing win against FBS teams. They lead in Dominance Rating.


Thirteen teams are one score away from being undefeated. They are (alphabetically):


Arizona St, Cincinnati, Georgia, LSU, Mississippi St, Nebraska, Penn State, Rutgers, TCU, Tennessee, Texas, USC, Virginia


Subscription prices to The MVP Chase are just $ 5 per month or $30/year (50% off). If you enjoy the content, consider a paid subscription or contact me to discuss a lower rate or one-time payment option. The more support I have, the more content I’ll be able to produce.


Contact James Leroy Wilson for writing, editing, research, and other work at jamesleroywilson-at-gmail.com. Visit JL Cells for my non-sports writing.

Thursday, September 25, 2025

The Most Tortured Franchises; Plus, NFL MVP and College Football Playoff updates

 

Image: Torsten Bolten

In this issue:


  • Most tortured franchises

  • NFL MVP Chase standings

  • College Football Playoff Update


Most tortured franchises


Happy Thursday, and a Happy Birthday to Bill Simmons, the most influential sports media personality of the 21st Century. For all his accomplishments in podcasting, independent media (The Ringer), and television (conceiving ESPN's 30 For 30), what stands out most is that he came up through the Internet, not through print journalism. I've heard him called the greatest sportswriter of all time by someone of a younger generation. I would disagree, because you can't compare the old-style newspaper columnist who had deadlines and word constraints with Simmons, who had much more flexibility and freedom. However, he was a great writer, and perhaps he'll return to it someday.


Back in early 2010, after the NFL conference championship games and before the Super Bowl, Simmons used the Vikings' loss to the Saints as the occasion to write about the most tortured teams in sports. He listed 15 teams but also mentioned all the other teams that, at that time, hadn't won a championship in 35 years.


Simmons may have updated the list since, and I'm sure others have created similar lists. I am updating the list Simmons made, although instead of the 35 years, I'm extending the championship drought to 50; I'm not going to put a team like the Bears, who haven't won the Super Bowl since 1985, on the "most tortured" list when a team like the Falcons hasn't won it at all. 


Five of the teams on the Simmons list have won championships, and 10 other teams, who had 35-year droughts as of 2010, have also won titles. I will rank them in the same order Simmons had them, removing the teams that subsequently became champions. With the new additions (11-15), I provide a brief explanation.


MOST TORTURED NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB FRANCHISES


  1. Vikings (Cubs had been #1)

  2. Bills

  3. Browns

  4. Indians/Guardians

  5. Maple Leafs

  6. Knicks

  7. Sabres

  8. Jets

  9. Trail Blazers

  10. Mariners

  11. Falcons: 28-3

  12. Clippers: One of the winningest teams over the last 14 years (all over .500, ten times over .600), also 14 playoff disappointments and the two biggest owner scandals in NBA history.

  13. Canucks: no Stanley Cup ever; two Finals Game 7 losses

  14. Suns: Aside from the 2010s, good throughout most of their history, no title 

  15. Padres: Never won the World Series; with the Chargers (who never won a Super Bowl) gone, they're all San Diegoans have 



NFL MVP CHASE STANDINGS


Methodology here. Data collected from Stathead.


College Football Playoff Update


Here are nine more teams that shouldn't and won't be in College Football Playoffs:


Illinois: 3-1; lost by 53 to Indiana

Tulane: 3-1; lost by 35 to Ole Miss

California: 3-1; lost by 34 to San Diego State

UAB: 2-2; lost by 32 to Tennessee

West Virginia: 2-2; lost by 31 to Kansas

Stanford: 1-3; lost by 28 to Virginia

Purdue; 2-2; lost by 26 to Notre Dame

Florida: 1-3; lost by 19 to Miami (FL)

Wisconsin: 2-2; lost by 17 to Maryland after losing by 24 to Alabama


Here is an alphabetical list of the 36 teams I've eliminated so far (I eliminate nine every week):


Akron, Army, Ball St, California, Central Michigan, Coastal Carolina, Eastern Mich, Florida, Georgia Southern, Georgia St, Illinois, Kennesaw St, Kent St, Louisiana, Louisiana-Monroe, Marshall, Massachusetts, Middle Tenn, Missouri St, Nevada, New Mexico St, North Carolina, Oklahoma St, Oregon St, Purdue, Sam Houston, Stanford, Temple, Tulane, UAB, UCLA, Virginia Tech, Washington State, West Virginia, Western Michigan, Wisconsin


I discovered a glitch after inputting last week's games that affected my college football data sheet, rendering its formulas inaccurate. I don't know when I'll have time to reconstruct and re-enter all the data. But I have ordered the remaining undefeated team by "dominance." Another way to look at it is to consider how many victories were blowouts, how many wins were convincing, how many were competitive but were still two-possession games, and how many were close, all summed up in a single number.


This is how I've ranked the remaining undefeated teams. It doesn't say much, in that some teams are 3-0 and others are 4-0. For instance, Ohio State's 3-0 start probably has the win of the year so far, a 14-7 victory over Texas, but it also played FCS's Grambling, a win that doesn't count in the Dominance Rtg, and has a blowout win over Ohio. USC, on the other hand, has two blowout wins, a convincing win, and a competitive win, all over FBS teams.



Subscription prices to The MVP Chase are just $ 5 per month or $30/year (50% off). If you enjoy the content, consider a paid subscription or contact me to discuss a lower rate or one-time payment option. The more support I have, the more content I'll be able to produce.


Contact James Leroy Wilson for writing, editing, research, and other work at jamesleroywilson-at-gmail.com. Visit JL Cells for my non-sports writing.